Most aggressive NFL coaches on fourth down, 2026
Through week 10 of 2026, Dan Campbell (DET) goes for it most often on fourth down, 30% of the time, where the model would go 44%. Every NFL team goes for it less often than the model recommends.
| Coach | Team | Goes for it | Model says go |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Campbell | DET | 30% | 44% |
| Dave Canales | CAR | 28% | 37% |
| Ben Johnson | CHI | 27% | 50% |
| Joe Brady | BUF | 25% | 46% |
| Kyle Shanahan | SF | 25% | 47% |
Share of 2026 fourth downs (before the last 5 minutes) where the team went for it, next to how often the model says going for it is the best call. Make the calls yourself