Snap Theory

Akron

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Joe Moorhead

103rdof 136 FBS teams
59fourth downs graded
30differ from the model
2.14%win chance given up per game
17%go for it
56%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs OHIO: 4th & 1 at the OHIO 25, Q1 3:35, tied. Akron kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (3.1% win chance given up).
  2. Week 6 vs EMU: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q2 3:02, up 1. Akron punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs OHIO: 4th & 6 at the OHIO 7, Q3 9:32, down 1. Akron kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  4. Week 6 vs EMU: 4th & 9 at the EMU 40, Q2 1:43, up 1. Akron punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  5. Week 6 vs EMU: 4th & 5 at the EMU 23, Q3 10:56, up 1. Akron kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
Play Akron’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards