Snap Theory

2026 fourth-down report cards

Every NFL coach and FBS team, ranked by win chance given up per game on fourth downs, graded by win probability.

NFL coaches

#CoachTeam
1Jeff HafleyMIA
2Dave CanalesCAR
3Nick SirianniPHI
4Kevin StefanskiATL
5Matt LaFleurGB
6Mike MacdonaldSEA
7Zac TaylorCIN
8Kellen MooreNO
9John HarbaughNYG
10Mike VrabelNE
11Brian SchottenheimerDAL
12Joe BradyBUF
13Andy ReidKC
14Aaron GlennNYJ
15Mike McCarthyPIT
16Todd MonkenCLE
17Sean McVayLA
18Ben JohnsonCHI
19Shane SteichenIND
20Todd BowlesTB
21Kyle ShanahanSF
22Kevin O'ConnellMIN
23Liam CoenJAX
24Robert SalehTEN
25Mike LaFleurARI
26Klint KubiakLV
27Jim HarbaughLAC
28Dan QuinnWAS
29Dan CampbellDET
30Jesse MinterBAL
31DeMeco RyansHOU
32Sean PaytonDEN

FBS teams

#TeamHead coach now
1SMURhett Lashlee
2New MexicoJason Eck
3Ohio StateRyan Day
4North Dakota StateTim Polasek
5North TexasNeal Brown
6UtahMorgan Scalley
7James MadisonBilly Napier
8GeorgiaKirby Smart
9Virginia TechJames Franklin
10Boise StateSpencer Danielson
11Notre DameMarcus Freeman
12LouisianaMichael Desormeaux
13HoustonWillie Fritz
14MiamiMario Cristobal
15TennesseeJosh Heupel
16DelawareRyan Carty
17Texas TechJoey McGuire
18MissouriEli Drinkwitz
19Louisiana TechSonny Cumbie
20Colorado StateJim Mora
21RutgersGreg Schiano
22LibertyJamey Chadwell
23FloridaJon Sumrall
24UTSAJeff Traylor
25WisconsinLuke Fickell
26KansasLance Leipold
27TexasSteve Sarkisian
28Arizona StateKenny Dillingham
29Wake ForestJake Dickert
30UCLABob Chesney
31Oregon StateJaMarcus Shephard
32PittsburghPat Narduzzi
33USCLincoln Riley
34Michigan StatePat Fitzgerald
35TroyGerad Parker
36Air ForceTroy Calhoun
37South CarolinaShane Beamer
38Ole MissPete Golding
39VirginiaTony Elliott
40RiceScott Abell
41MinnesotaP. J. Fleck
42ArkansasRyan Silverfield
43UTEPScotty Walden
44NebraskaMatt Rhule
45Georgia StateDell McGee
46NevadaJeff Choate
47BYUKalani Sitake
48LouisvilleJeff Brohm
49ArmyJeff Monken
50NavyBrian Newberry
51NorthwesternDavid Braun
52Coastal CarolinaRyan Beard
53Florida InternationalWillie Simmons
54Northern IllinoisRob Harley
55VanderbiltClark Lea
56Texas StateG. J. Kinne
57Penn StateMatt Campbell
58ClemsonDabo Swinney
59South AlabamaMajor Applewhite
60NC StateTodd Goebbel
61OregonDan Lanning
62Sacramento StateAlonzo Carter
63AuburnAlex Golesh
64TempleK. C. Keeler
65MarylandAazaar Abdul-Rahim
66Eastern MichiganChris Creighton
67OhioJohn Hauser
68IllinoisBret Bielema
69StanfordTavita Pritchard
70Boston CollegeBill O'Brien
71Missouri StateCasey Woods
72CincinnatiScott Satterfield
73TCUSonny Dykes
74Western KentuckyTyson Helton
75CharlotteTim Albin
76AlabamaKalen DeBoer
77ToledoMike Jacobs
78TulsaTre Lamb
79Georgia SouthernClay Helton
80East CarolinaBlake Harrell
81Texas A&MMike Elko
82Hawai'iTimmy Chang
83WyomingJay Sawvel
84App StateDowell Loggains
85MichiganKyle Whittingham
86Ball StateMike Uremovich
87UNLVDan Mullen
88OklahomaBrent Venables
89Florida StateRick Stockstill
90New Mexico StateTony Sanchez
91MarshallTony Gibson
92ArizonaBrent Brennan
93WashingtonJedd Fisch
94Washington StateKirby Moore
95UConnJason Candle
96LSULane Kiffin
97Arkansas StateButch Jones
98TulaneWill Hall
99BuffaloPete Lembo
100UCFScott Frost
101DukeManny Diaz
102North CarolinaBill Belichick
103AkronJoe Moorhead
104Mississippi StateJeff Lebby
105Miami (OH)Chuck Martin
106BaylorJoe Klanderman
107Iowa StateJimmy Rogers
108Georgia TechBrent Key
109San Diego StateSean Lewis
110Southern MissBlake Anderson
111MemphisCharles Huff
112UABAlex Mortensen
113San José StateKen Niumatalolo
114Kansas StateCollin Klein
115SyracuseFran Brown
116Central MichiganMatt Drinkall
117PurdueBarry Odom
118CaliforniaTosh Lupoi
119Fresno StateMatt Entz
120Kent StateMark Carney
121South FloridaBrian Hartline
122Old DominionRicky Rahne
123Bowling GreenEddie George
124Sam HoustonFreddie Aughtry-Lindsay / Eric Raisbeck
125Western MichiganLance Taylor
126Middle TennesseeDerek Mason
127Oklahoma StateEric Morris
128IndianaCurt Cignetti
129ColoradoDeion Sanders
130Kennesaw StateJerry Mack
131West VirginiaRich Rodriguez
132MassachusettsJoe Harasymiak
133Utah StateBronco Mendenhall
134IowaKirk Ferentz
135KentuckyWill Stein
136UL MonroeBryant Vincent