Snap Theory

Hawai'i

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Timmy Chang

82ndof 136 FBS teams
67fourth downs graded
18differ from the model
1.73%win chance given up per game
19%go for it
39%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 1 vs UNLV: 4th & 1 at their own 29, Q2 3:52, down 4. Hawai'i punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.5% win chance given up).
  2. Week 5 vs SJSU: 4th & 1 at their own 36, Q2 9:04, down 7. Hawai'i punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  3. Week 5 vs SJSU: 4th & 5 at the SJSU 7, Q3 5:14, down 11. Hawai'i kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  4. Week 10 vs UTEP: 4th & 2 at the UTEP 3, Q2 7:01, up 7. Hawai'i kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  5. Week 1 vs STAN: 4th & 5 at midfield, Q1 0:33, down 7. Hawai'i punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
Play Hawai'i’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards