Snap Theory

Massachusetts

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Joe Harasymiak

132ndof 136 FBS teams
63fourth downs graded
26differ from the model
3.21%win chance given up per game
14%go for it
54%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 7 vs BUFF: 4th & 1 at midfield, Q3 0:15, tied. Massachusetts punted; the model’s call was to go for it (5.6% win chance given up).
  2. Week 1 vs RUTG: 4th & 1 at the RUTG 13, Q2 3:42, up 14. Massachusetts kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (4.0% win chance given up).
  3. Week 6 vs M-OH: 4th & 1 at the M-OH 17, Q4 4:55, down 10. Massachusetts kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.9% win chance given up).
  4. Week 7 vs BUFF: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q3 8:50, tied. Massachusetts punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.9% win chance given up).
  5. Week 6 vs M-OH: 4th & 1 at their own 39, Q2 5:37, down 4. Massachusetts punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.4% win chance given up).
Play Massachusetts’ calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards