Snap Theory

South Carolina

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Shane Beamer

37thof 136 FBS teams
58fourth downs graded
14differ from the model
1.12%win chance given up per game
31%go for it
48%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 5 vs UK: 4th & 3 at their own 43, Q4 2:00, tied. South Carolina punted; the model’s call was to go for it (4.0% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs TA&M: 4th & 1 at their own 25, Q2 7:34, up 4. South Carolina punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
  3. Week 8 vs TENN: 4th & 3 at the TENN 5, Q2 1:44, tied. South Carolina kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  4. Week 3 vs MSST: 4th & goal at the MSST 9, Q1 4:52, up 3. South Carolina went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.8% win chance given up).
  5. Week 6 vs FLA: 4th & 5 at the FLA 30, Q1 6:00, down 7. South Carolina kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.6% win chance given up).
Play South Carolina’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards