Snap Theory

Ohio

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: John Hauser

67thof 136 FBS teams
46fourth downs graded
14differ from the model
1.54%win chance given up per game
22%go for it
48%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 8 vs EMU: 4th & 10 at the EMU 31, Q3 11:21, down 3. Ohio went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (2.9% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs AKR: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q3 0:41, up 5. Ohio punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.4% win chance given up).
  3. Week 8 vs EMU: 4th & 2 at the EMU 45, Q4 8:05, up 4. Ohio punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.2% win chance given up).
  4. Week 2 vs JXST: 4th & 4 at the JXST 6, Q4 14:57, down 10. Ohio kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.1% win chance given up).
  5. Week 5 vs KENT: 4th & 6 at the KENT 27, Q3 0:15, tied. Ohio kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
Play Ohio’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards