Snap Theory

Charlotte

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Tim Albin

75thof 136 FBS teams
68fourth downs graded
33differ from the model
1.66%win chance given up per game
22%go for it
65%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs UAB: 4th & goal at the UAB 4, Q2 7:29, tied. Charlotte kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.2% win chance given up).
  2. Week 9 vs TULN: 4th & 3 at the TULN 30, Q3 1:00, up 3. Charlotte kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.6% win chance given up).
  3. Week 4 vs UL: 4th & 1 at their own 22, Q3 5:36, down 10. Charlotte punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 4 vs UL: 4th & 2 at their own 40, Q2 11:31, down 3. Charlotte punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  5. Week 5 vs MEM: 4th & 1 at their own 49, Q1 10:36, tied. Charlotte punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.3% win chance given up).
Play Charlotte’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards