Snap Theory

Louisiana

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Michael Desormeaux

12thof 136 FBS teams
54fourth downs graded
12differ from the model
0.75%win chance given up per game
19%go for it
33%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs USA: 4th & 9 at the USA 31, Q4 4:02, up 2. Louisiana kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.6% win chance given up).
  2. Week 5 vs ARST: 4th & 3 at the ARST 21, Q3 9:04, down 3. Louisiana kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  3. Week 3 vs UAB: 4th & 1 at their own 13, Q4 9:38, up 14. Louisiana punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.6% win chance given up).
  4. Week 7 vs TROY: 4th & 3 at their own 42, Q1 4:17, up 7. Louisiana punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.5% win chance given up).
  5. Week 8 vs USM: 4th & 8 at the USM 33, Q1 5:54, up 7. Louisiana went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.5% win chance given up).
Play Louisiana’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards