Snap Theory

Wyoming

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Jay Sawvel

83rdof 136 FBS teams
55fourth downs graded
18differ from the model
1.73%win chance given up per game
27%go for it
55%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 6 vs SJSU: 4th & 2 at their own 35, Q4 3:13, tied. Wyoming punted; the model’s call was to go for it (4.7% win chance given up).
  2. Week 3 vs CMU: 4th & 7 at the CMU 38, Q1 0:04, down 3. Wyoming punted; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (1.6% win chance given up).
  3. Week 3 vs CMU: 4th & 4 at the CMU 13, Q2 5:07, down 10. Wyoming went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (1.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 10 vs UNLV: 4th & 2 at the UNLV 26, Q1 5:02, tied. Wyoming kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  5. Week 6 vs SJSU: 4th & 3 at their own 47, Q3 8:10, down 4. Wyoming punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
Play Wyoming’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards