Snap Theory

West Virginia

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Rich Rodriguez

131stof 136 FBS teams
56fourth downs graded
17differ from the model
3.19%win chance given up per game
27%go for it
54%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs TTU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q4 6:25, up 4. West Virginia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (8.8% win chance given up).
  2. Week 8 vs TCU: 4th & 1 at their own 41, Q4 5:52, up 4. West Virginia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (7.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 3 vs UVA: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q3 5:12, tied. West Virginia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (4.2% win chance given up).
  4. Week 5 vs ISU: 4th & 2 at their own 28, Q2 2:23, tied. West Virginia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  5. Week 6 vs ARIZ: 4th & 21 at the ARIZ 38, Q3 10:08, down 14. West Virginia went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (1.3% win chance given up).
Play West Virginia’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards