Snap Theory

UCLA

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Bob Chesney

30thof 136 FBS teams
50fourth downs graded
13differ from the model
1.04%win chance given up per game
16%go for it
26%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 6 vs ORE: 4th & 2 at the ORE 4, Q1 10:47, tied. UCLA kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.7% win chance given up).
  2. Week 6 vs ORE: 4th & 6 at the ORE 44, Q1 2:17, down 3. UCLA punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.5% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs MINN: 4th & 3 at their own 42, Q2 2:22, up 3. UCLA punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  4. Week 10 vs MINN: 4th & 2 at the MINN 27, Q2 4:57, up 3. UCLA went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.9% win chance given up).
  5. Week 7 vs WIS: 4th & 4 at the WIS 33, Q3 1:21, up 3. UCLA went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.7% win chance given up).
Play UCLA’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards