Snap Theory

Missouri

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Eli Drinkwitz

18thof 136 FBS teams
64fourth downs graded
13differ from the model
0.90%win chance given up per game
12%go for it
27%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 7 vs MISS: 4th & 5 at the MISS 6, Q2 5:44, down 11. Missouri kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.0% win chance given up).
  2. Week 4 vs MSST: 4th & 3 at the MSST 42, Q2 12:58, down 14. Missouri punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs TEX: 4th & 11 at their own 24, Q4 3:42, down 7. Missouri punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.6% win chance given up).
  4. Week 10 vs TEX: 4th & 4 at the TEX 5, Q1 1:06, tied. Missouri kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.5% win chance given up).
Play Missouri’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards