Snap Theory

James Madison

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Billy Napier

7thof 136 FBS teams
67fourth downs graded
14differ from the model
0.54%win chance given up per game
19%go for it
37%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 9 vs TROY: 4th & 8 at the TROY 40, Q4 9:14, tied. James Madison punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  2. Week 9 vs TROY: 4th & 10 at the TROY 37, Q3 0:31, tied. James Madison punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 6 vs GASO: 4th & 6 at the GASO 45, Q1 10:55, down 7. James Madison punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  4. Week 8 vs APP: 4th & 6 at the APP 30, Q4 9:19, tied. James Madison kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.8% win chance given up).
  5. Week 8 vs APP: 4th & 6 at the APP 45, Q2 10:20, up 4. James Madison punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.5% win chance given up).
Play James Madison’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards