Snap Theory

UTEP

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Scotty Walden

43rdof 136 FBS teams
71fourth downs graded
28differ from the model
1.17%win chance given up per game
25%go for it
63%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs HAW: 4th & 4 at the HAW 45, Q3 1:26, down 3. UTEP punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.1% win chance given up).
  2. Week 7 vs SJSU: 4th & 7 at the SJSU 46, Q2 1:42, down 7. UTEP punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 7 vs SJSU: 4th & 10 at the SJSU 39, Q1 2:13, down 7. UTEP punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  4. Week 7 vs SJSU: 4th & 8 at the SJSU 25, Q3 6:43, down 14. UTEP kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.3% win chance given up).
Play UTEP’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards