Snap Theory

South Alabama

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Major Applewhite

59thof 136 FBS teams
67fourth downs graded
17differ from the model
1.48%win chance given up per game
45%go for it
64%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 2 vs TULN: 4th & 1 at midfield, Q2 5:31, up 3. South Alabama punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  2. Week 8 vs MRSH: 4th & 8 at the MRSH 28, Q3 1:13, down 7. South Alabama kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs UL: 4th & 6 at the UL 27, Q2 1:13, down 7. South Alabama kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.8% win chance given up).
  4. Week 5 vs ULM: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q2 3:02, up 14. South Alabama punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.8% win chance given up).
  5. Week 4 vs UK: 4th & 4 at the UK 46, Q1 12:40, tied. South Alabama punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.7% win chance given up).
Play South Alabama’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards