Snap Theory

Marshall

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Tony Gibson

91stof 136 FBS teams
65fourth downs graded
27differ from the model
1.84%win chance given up per game
12%go for it
51%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 8 vs USA: 4th & 2 at the USA 32, Q1 9:27, tied. Marshall kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.6% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs GASO: 4th & 3 at their own 42, Q4 12:54, down 7. Marshall punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.0% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs GASO: 4th & 2 at their own 43, Q3 6:12, down 7. Marshall punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  4. Week 3 vs MOST: 4th & 1 at their own 32, Q2 4:33, up 7. Marshall punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  5. Week 2 vs MTSU: 4th & 1 at their own 22, Q3 9:14, up 1. Marshall punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.7% win chance given up).
Play Marshall’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards