Snap Theory

BYU

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Kalani Sitake

47thof 136 FBS teams
48fourth downs graded
16differ from the model
1.19%win chance given up per game
19%go for it
44%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 8 vs UCF: 4th & 3 at their own 8, Q4 0:42, tied. BYU punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.3% win chance given up).
  2. Week 7 vs ND: 4th & 5 at their own 28, Q3 1:40, up 8. BYU went for it; the model’s call was to punt (1.4% win chance given up).
  3. Week 9 vs ASU: 4th & 2 at the ASU 28, Q4 12:08, tied. BYU kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  4. Week 2 vs ARIZ: 4th & 10 at the ARIZ 45, Q2 0:38, down 3. BYU punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  5. Week 2 vs ARIZ: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q1 7:39, down 7. BYU punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.6% win chance given up).
Play BYU’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards