Snap Theory

Texas A&M

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Mike Elko

81stof 136 FBS teams
63fourth downs graded
22differ from the model
1.73%win chance given up per game
24%go for it
49%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs SC: 4th & 1 at their own 36, Q2 6:07, down 4. Texas A&M punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.1% win chance given up).
  2. Week 6 vs MIZ: 4th & 1 at their own 40, Q1 2:17, up 3. Texas A&M punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.0% win chance given up).
  3. Week 4 vs LSU: 4th & 6 at the LSU 7, Q2 8:46, down 7. Texas A&M kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  4. Week 3 vs UK: 4th & 10 at the UK 42, Q2 0:24, tied. Texas A&M punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  5. Week 2 vs ASU: 4th & 12 at their own 44, Q4 8:52, up 11. Texas A&M went for it; the model’s call was to punt (1.1% win chance given up).
Play Texas A&M’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards