Snap Theory

Syracuse

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Fran Brown

115thof 136 FBS teams
68fourth downs graded
25differ from the model
2.45%win chance given up per game
32%go for it
60%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 7 vs LOU: 4th & 5 at the LOU 7, Q4 12:45, down 5. Syracuse kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (3.1% win chance given up).
  2. Week 7 vs LOU: 4th & 1 at their own 42, Q1 3:29, up 3. Syracuse punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.3% win chance given up).
  3. Week 9 vs SMU: 4th & 7 at the SMU 8, Q2 6:35, tied. Syracuse kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  4. Week 5 vs CONN: 4th & 23 at the CONN 34, Q3 7:58, up 13. Syracuse went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (1.6% win chance given up).
  5. Week 3 vs PITT: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q3 13:14, down 7. Syracuse punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.3% win chance given up).
Play Syracuse’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards