Snap Theory

Boston College

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Bill O'Brien

70thof 136 FBS teams
59fourth downs graded
16differ from the model
1.57%win chance given up per game
29%go for it
47%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 4 vs VT: 4th & 10 at their own 38, Q4 3:25, down 7. Boston College punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs FSU: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q2 4:40, up 3. Boston College punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.3% win chance given up).
  3. Week 7 vs PITT: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q3 8:21, up 6. Boston College punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  4. Week 1 vs CIN: 4th & 9 at the CIN 42, Q2 14:17, down 3. Boston College punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  5. Week 4 vs VT: 4th & 2 at their own 34, Q2 8:50, tied. Boston College punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
Play Boston College’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards