Snap Theory

Coastal Carolina

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Ryan Beard

52ndof 136 FBS teams
61fourth downs graded
18differ from the model
1.27%win chance given up per game
21%go for it
39%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs ODU: 4th & 1 at their own 29, Q2 5:20, down 11. Coastal Carolina punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.8% win chance given up).
  2. Week 9 vs GAST: 4th & 4 at the GAST 36, Q2 7:08, up 4. Coastal Carolina kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  3. Week 4 vs LIB: 4th & 6 at the LIB 24, Q1 5:19, down 3. Coastal Carolina kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 5 vs GASO: 4th & 7 at the GASO 34, Q2 8:38, down 10. Coastal Carolina kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.2% win chance given up).
  5. Week 1 vs WVU: 4th & 3 at their own 45, Q1 10:38, down 7. Coastal Carolina punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.2% win chance given up).
Play Coastal Carolina’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards