Snap Theory

Northwestern

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: David Braun

51stof 136 FBS teams
55fourth downs graded
17differ from the model
1.25%win chance given up per game
22%go for it
45%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs IOWA: 4th & 4 at the IOWA 43, Q1 7:28, down 7. Northwestern punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs IOWA: 4th & 5 at the IOWA 43, Q1 2:35, down 7. Northwestern punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  3. Week 4 vs IU: 4th & 6 at the IU 41, Q2 9:03, down 5. Northwestern punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
  4. Week 10 vs IOWA: 4th & 1 at their own 22, Q2 1:47, down 14. Northwestern punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
  5. Week 10 vs IOWA: 4th & 3 at their own 48, Q3 12:37, down 14. Northwestern punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.7% win chance given up).
Play Northwestern’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards