Snap Theory

UConn

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Jason Candle

95thof 136 FBS teams
52fourth downs graded
14differ from the model
1.97%win chance given up per game
37%go for it
44%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 4 vs M-OH: 4th & 10 at the M-OH 38, Q4 0:17, down 3. UConn went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (10.2% win chance given up).
  2. Week 4 vs M-OH: 4th & 1 at their own 35, Q3 8:11, tied. UConn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs UNC: 4th & 6 at the UNC 28, Q1 8:41, tied. UConn kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
  4. Week 2 vs MD: 4th & 3 at the MD 48, Q1 7:40, tied. UConn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
  5. Week 5 vs SYR: 4th & 10 at the SYR 31, Q3 3:31, down 14. UConn went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.4% win chance given up).
Play UConn’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards