Snap Theory

Utah

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Morgan Scalley

6thof 136 FBS teams
42fourth downs graded
15differ from the model
0.54%win chance given up per game
24%go for it
43%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 8 vs HOU: 4th & 3 at their own 49, Q4 2:20, up 1. Utah punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
  2. Week 8 vs HOU: 4th & 5 at the HOU 41, Q1 12:40, tied. Utah punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs BYU: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q2 13:27, up 8. Utah punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.7% win chance given up).
  4. Week 2 vs ARK: 4th & 2 at their own 34, Q1 1:09, up 4. Utah punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.3% win chance given up).
  5. Week 10 vs BYU: 4th & 4 at the BYU 12, Q3 8:47, down 6. Utah kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.1% win chance given up).
Play Utah’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards