Snap Theory

Wisconsin

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Luke Fickell

25thof 136 FBS teams
55fourth downs graded
18differ from the model
1.01%win chance given up per game
22%go for it
40%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 7 vs UCLA: 4th & 10 at the UCLA 39, Q3 0:04, down 3. Wisconsin punted; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (3.1% win chance given up).
  2. Week 7 vs UCLA: 4th & 2 at midfield, Q2 14:50, down 3. Wisconsin punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
  3. Week 1 vs ND: 4th & 10 at the ND 36, Q2 4:55, down 3. Wisconsin punted; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (1.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 4 vs PSU: 4th & 6 at midfield, Q4 10:18, down 10. Wisconsin punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  5. Week 1 vs ND: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q1 12:43, tied. Wisconsin punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.8% win chance given up).
Play Wisconsin’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards