Snap Theory

Washington

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Jedd Fisch

93rdof 136 FBS teams
63fourth downs graded
18differ from the model
1.88%win chance given up per game
14%go for it
37%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 9 vs NEB: 4th & 1 at their own 39, Q3 3:48, down 4. Washington punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.9% win chance given up).
  2. Week 9 vs NEB: 4th & 5 at the NEB 42, Q4 6:03, down 4. Washington punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.6% win chance given up).
  3. Week 5 vs USC: 4th & 2 at the USC 48, Q3 2:35, up 5. Washington punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  4. Week 2 vs USU: 4th & 2 at the USU 49, Q3 1:35, up 3. Washington punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
  5. Week 4 vs MINN: 4th & 5 at the MINN 15, Q4 11:03, down 14. Washington went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.6% win chance given up).
Play Washington’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards