Snap Theory

Kennesaw State

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Jerry Mack

130thof 136 FBS teams
59fourth downs graded
30differ from the model
3.14%win chance given up per game
22%go for it
71%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 6 vs JXST: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q4 14:02, up 2. Kennesaw State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (4.9% win chance given up).
  2. Week 7 vs MOST: 4th & 1 at their own 19, Q2 11:58, down 3. Kennesaw State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.5% win chance given up).
  3. Week 6 vs JXST: 4th & 2 at the JXST 3, Q1 6:44, tied. Kennesaw State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.3% win chance given up).
  4. Week 8 vs LIB: 4th & 1 at the LIB 20, Q2 0:31, down 14. Kennesaw State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.0% win chance given up).
  5. Week 9 vs MTSU: 4th & 1 at their own 42, Q2 0:55, up 5. Kennesaw State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
Play Kennesaw State’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards