Snap Theory

Old Dominion

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Ricky Rahne

122ndof 136 FBS teams
79fourth downs graded
34differ from the model
2.54%win chance given up per game
14%go for it
54%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 3 vs ECU: 4th & 1 at their own 42, Q2 14:14, down 7. Old Dominion punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.9% win chance given up).
  2. Week 3 vs ECU: 4th & 6 at their own 33, Q4 3:50, down 3. Old Dominion punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 10 vs CCU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q1 12:54, tied. Old Dominion punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.1% win chance given up).
  4. Week 9 vs MRSH: 4th & 6 at the MRSH 38, Q2 5:40, down 7. Old Dominion punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.1% win chance given up).
  5. Week 3 vs ECU: 4th & 1 at their own 26, Q1 3:55, down 7. Old Dominion punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.0% win chance given up).
Play Old Dominion’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards