Snap Theory

UL Monroe

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Bryant Vincent

136thof 136 FBS teams
71fourth downs graded
36differ from the model
3.99%win chance given up per game
25%go for it
76%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs ARST: 4th & 1 at the ARST 23, Q4 1:49, down 1. UL Monroe kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (7.8% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs ARST: 4th & 7 at the ARST 40, Q4 12:30, up 2. UL Monroe punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.8% win chance given up).
  3. Week 2 vs UAB: 4th & 1 at the UAB 7, Q3 10:24, up 7. UL Monroe kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (3.4% win chance given up).
  4. Week 8 vs TROY: 4th & 4 at the TROY 44, Q4 14:49, down 4. UL Monroe punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.2% win chance given up).
  5. Week 8 vs TROY: 4th & 5 at the TROY 38, Q3 9:06, down 4. UL Monroe punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.8% win chance given up).
Play UL Monroe’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards