Snap Theory

Oklahoma

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Brent Venables

88thof 136 FBS teams
66fourth downs graded
23differ from the model
1.83%win chance given up per game
12%go for it
44%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 6 vs TEX: 4th & 4 at their own 41, Q4 0:54, tied. Oklahoma punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  2. Week 8 vs MSST: 4th & 1 at the MSST 47, Q1 7:04, up 3. Oklahoma punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.0% win chance given up).
  3. Week 9 vs SC: 4th & 2 at the SC 49, Q1 2:35, down 7. Oklahoma punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
  4. Week 6 vs TEX: 4th & 3 at midfield, Q3 6:09, down 7. Oklahoma punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.6% win chance given up).
  5. Week 6 vs TEX: 4th & 1 at their own 30, Q1 1:26, down 7. Oklahoma punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
Play Oklahoma’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards