Snap Theory

Kent State

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Mark Carney

120thof 136 FBS teams
66fourth downs graded
33differ from the model
2.52%win chance given up per game
35%go for it
67%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 5 vs OHIO: 4th & 2 at the OHIO 15, Q4 0:10, down 3. Kent State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (5.7% win chance given up).
  2. Week 9 vs SAC: 4th & 4 at midfield, Q3 0:20, down 7. Kent State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.8% win chance given up).
  3. Week 8 vs AKR: 4th & 3 at the AKR 41, Q4 8:18, up 4. Kent State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.7% win chance given up).
  4. Week 5 vs OHIO: 4th & 3 at the OHIO 32, Q4 10:52, down 3. Kent State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.5% win chance given up).
  5. Week 4 vs BALL: 4th & 12 at their own 18, Q2 8:14, up 7. Kent State went for it; the model’s call was to punt (1.9% win chance given up).
Play Kent State’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards