New Mexico State

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Tony Sanchez

The costliest close calls

1. Week 9 vs JXST: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q2 10:35, down 7. New Mexico State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.8% win chance given up).
2. Week 8 vs SHSU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q1 10:53, down 7. New Mexico State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.2% win chance given up).
3. Week 6 vs FIU: 4th & 4 at midfield, Q2 0:53, down 7. New Mexico State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.7% win chance given up).
4. Week 10 vs LIB: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q2 7:39, up 1. New Mexico State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
5. Week 5 vs WKU: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q1 13:42, tied. New Mexico State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards