Snap Theory

Clemson

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Dabo Swinney

58thof 136 FBS teams
78fourth downs graded
29differ from the model
1.46%win chance given up per game
18%go for it
46%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 9 vs FSU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q4 6:29, up 11. Clemson punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  2. Week 4 vs CAL: 4th & 8 at the CAL 46, Q3 6:28, tied. Clemson punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  3. Week 1 vs LSU: 4th & 3 at their own 49, Q1 7:57, tied. Clemson punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
  4. Week 3 vs UNC: 4th & 3 at the UNC 5, Q3 10:42, down 11. Clemson kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
  5. Week 4 vs CAL: 4th & 2 at the CAL 31, Q4 9:14, up 7. Clemson kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
Play Clemson’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards