Snap Theory

Auburn

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Alex Golesh

63rdof 136 FBS teams
68fourth downs graded
23differ from the model
1.50%win chance given up per game
24%go for it
46%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 7 vs UGA: 4th & 2 at their own 47, Q4 8:14, up 7. Auburn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.2% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs ARK: 4th & 2 at their own 45, Q2 5:02, down 10. Auburn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  3. Week 5 vs TENN: 4th & 9 at the TENN 44, Q2 5:06, down 3. Auburn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 7 vs UGA: 4th & 3 at their own 32, Q4 12:10, up 7. Auburn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  5. Week 8 vs LSU: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q2 3:21, down 14. Auburn punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.8% win chance given up).
Play Auburn’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards