Snap Theory

Eastern Michigan

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Chris Creighton

66thof 136 FBS teams
73fourth downs graded
24differ from the model
1.53%win chance given up per game
29%go for it
62%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs CMU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q1 7:08, down 7. Eastern Michigan punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.2% win chance given up).
  2. Week 1 vs SJSU: 4th & 6 at the SJSU 39, Q1 5:00, tied. Eastern Michigan punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
  3. Week 8 vs OHIO: 4th & 2 at their own 48, Q3 8:15, up 3. Eastern Michigan punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 6 vs AKR: 4th & 3 at the AKR 16, Q3 4:42, down 4. Eastern Michigan kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.3% win chance given up).
  5. Week 8 vs OHIO: 4th & 4 at the OHIO 44, Q1 2:31, down 7. Eastern Michigan punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
Play Eastern Michigan’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards