Snap Theory

Georgia

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Kirby Smart

8thof 136 FBS teams
40fourth downs graded
12differ from the model
0.64%win chance given up per game
12%go for it
30%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 4 vs OU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q1 12:49, tied. Georgia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  2. Week 9 vs FLA: 4th & 2 at the FLA 26, Q1 9:04, tied. Georgia kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.6% win chance given up).
  3. Week 7 vs AUB: 4th & 1 at their own 21, Q2 10:38, up 7. Georgia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.5% win chance given up).
  4. Week 4 vs OU: 4th & 2 at the OU 11, Q1 3:57, tied. Georgia went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (0.4% win chance given up).
  5. Week 7 vs AUB: 4th & 4 at the AUB 45, Q1 0:15, up 7. Georgia punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.3% win chance given up).
Play Georgia’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards