Rutgers

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Greg Schiano

The costliest close calls

1. Week 9 vs MICH: 4th & 8 at their own 42, Q4 3:17, down 7. Rutgers punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.9% win chance given up).
2. Week 7 vs MD: 4th & 7 at the MD 8, Q3 10:43, down 10. Rutgers kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.8% win chance given up).
3. Week 10 vs WIS: 4th & 2 at their own 33, Q3 3:30, down 6. Rutgers punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.2% win chance given up).
4. Week 5 vs IU: 4th & 1 at their own 44, Q1 5:40, down 7. Rutgers punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.6% win chance given up).
5. Week 9 vs MICH: 4th & 2 at the MICH 15, Q2 3:21, down 4. Rutgers kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.6% win chance given up).

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards