Snap Theory

Florida International

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Willie Simmons

53rdof 136 FBS teams
66fourth downs graded
16differ from the model
1.29%win chance given up per game
33%go for it
55%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 3 vs FAU: 4th & 6 at the FAU 19, Q4 13:28, down 9. Florida International kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (2.0% win chance given up).
  2. Week 10 vs MOST: 4th & 10 at the MOST 32, Q2 11:41, tied. Florida International went for it; the model’s call was to kick a field goal (1.5% win chance given up).
  3. Week 8 vs MTSU: 4th & 3 at their own 32, Q2 2:05, down 2. Florida International punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  4. Week 1 vs USF: 4th & 12 at the USF 38, Q2 5:00, down 6. Florida International punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  5. Week 3 vs FAU: 4th & 7 at the FAU 29, Q2 9:18, down 10. Florida International kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
Play Florida International’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards