Snap Theory

Colorado

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Deion Sanders

129thof 136 FBS teams
64fourth downs graded
28differ from the model
3.10%win chance given up per game
22%go for it
58%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 7 vs UTAH: 4th & 1 at their own 36, Q4 8:43, down 3. Colorado punted; the model’s call was to go for it (5.0% win chance given up).
  2. Week 1 vs GT: 4th & 9 at the GT 38, Q3 4:23, down 3. Colorado punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 7 vs UTAH: 4th & 7 at the UTAH 41, Q4 14:03, down 3. Colorado punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.0% win chance given up).
  4. Week 1 vs GT: 4th & 5 at the GT 38, Q2 7:38, tied. Colorado punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.6% win chance given up).
  5. Week 10 vs ASU: 4th & 1 at their own 34, Q2 9:16, down 10. Colorado punted; the model’s call was to go for it (2.1% win chance given up).
Play Colorado’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards