Snap Theory

Vanderbilt

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Clark Lea

55thof 136 FBS teams
67fourth downs graded
20differ from the model
1.38%win chance given up per game
30%go for it
60%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 10 vs MSST: 4th & 4 at the MSST 38, Q4 1:46, up 5. Vanderbilt kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (4.0% win chance given up).
  2. Week 8 vs UK: 4th & 2 at the UK 13, Q1 3:57, tied. Vanderbilt kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
  3. Week 3 vs NCSU: 4th & 2 at their own 25, Q3 10:52, down 10. Vanderbilt punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  4. Week 7 vs ARK: 4th & 6 at the ARK 44, Q1 8:51, tied. Vanderbilt punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.7% win chance given up).
  5. Week 10 vs MSST: 4th & 6 at the MSST 37, Q3 3:58, up 2. Vanderbilt kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.7% win chance given up).
Play Vanderbilt’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards