Snap Theory

Maryland

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (interim)

65thof 136 FBS teams
65fourth downs graded
23differ from the model
1.51%win chance given up per game
23%go for it
57%model says go

The costliest close calls

  1. Week 9 vs ILL: 4th & 2 at the ILL 29, Q4 10:16, down 3. Maryland kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (3.3% win chance given up).
  2. Week 5 vs NEB: 4th & 3 at the NEB 25, Q1 4:12, up 3. Maryland kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  3. Week 9 vs ILL: 4th & 9 at the ILL 44, Q3 1:14, up 4. Maryland punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.4% win chance given up).
  4. Week 4 vs UCLA: 4th & 2 at their own 36, Q1 8:41, tied. Maryland punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.0% win chance given up).
  5. Week 9 vs ILL: 4th & 8 at the ILL 43, Q3 4:04, up 4. Maryland punted; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
Play Maryland’s calls

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards