Georgia State

FBS · 2026 fourth downs through week 10 · head coach now: Dell McGee

The costliest close calls

1. Week 8 vs ARST: 4th & 1 at their own 33, Q1 2:21, down 7. Georgia State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (3.2% win chance given up).
2. Week 2 vs KENN: 4th & 4 at the KENN 24, Q1 9:18, tied. Georgia State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
3. Week 9 vs CCU: 4th & 9 at the CCU 49, Q3 12:21, down 11. Georgia State punted; the model’s call was to go for it (1.1% win chance given up).
4. Week 10 vs APP: 4th & 7 at the APP 35, Q2 13:21, up 3. Georgia State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.9% win chance given up).
5. Week 10 vs APP: 4th & 6 at the APP 28, Q1 9:08, tied. Georgia State kicked a field goal; the model’s call was to go for it (0.8% win chance given up).

Every 2026 fourth down before the last 5 minutes is graded: the win chance of going for it, punting and kicking, from historical rates. All report cards